{"id":2824,"date":"2019-12-20T09:48:19","date_gmt":"2019-12-20T09:48:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/icoca.ch\/2019\/12\/20\/future-security-trends-workshop-report\/"},"modified":"2021-12-03T12:04:45","modified_gmt":"2021-12-03T12:04:45","slug":"future-security-trends-workshop-report","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/icoca.ch\/fr\/2019\/12\/20\/future-security-trends-workshop-report\/","title":{"rendered":"RAPPORT DE L’ATELIER SUR LES TENDANCES FUTURES EN MATI\u00c8RE DE S\u00c9CURIT\u00c9"},"content":{"rendered":"

La sixi\u00e8me Assembl\u00e9e g\u00e9n\u00e9rale annuelle a \u00e9t\u00e9 pr\u00e9c\u00e9d\u00e9e d’un atelier sur les futures tendances en mati\u00e8re de s\u00e9curit\u00e9, qui s’est tenu le 20 novembre 2019.<\/p>\n

Pr\u00e9parer le terrain pour les futurs possibles<\/strong><\/p>\n

Le premier de ces ateliers \u00e0 \u00eatre organis\u00e9 par ICoCA, Jamie Williamson, directeur ex\u00e9cutif d’ICoCA, a ouvert les d\u00e9bats en pr\u00e9sentant des projections de donn\u00e9es sur une s\u00e9rie de sujets et a demand\u00e9 aux participants d’examiner les implications \u00e9ventuelles de ces derniers en mati\u00e8re de s\u00e9curit\u00e9. Avec 75% de la population mondiale qui devrait vivre dans des environnements urbains d’ici 2045 et la possibilit\u00e9 que 40% de la population mondiale vive dans des bidonvilles dans une d\u00e9cennie seulement, les participants ont \u00e9t\u00e9 interrog\u00e9s sur la mani\u00e8re dont la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 pourrait \u00eatre assur\u00e9e dans ce type d’environnement et sur les implications de cette situation en mati\u00e8re de gouvernance. Le changement climatique provoque d\u00e9j\u00e0 des perturbations humanitaires majeures. D’ici 2050, la Croix-Rouge pr\u00e9voit que 200 millions de personnes auront besoin d’une aide humanitaire en raison du changement climatique. Quelles sont donc les ramifications s\u00e9curitaires de ce ph\u00e9nom\u00e8ne, \u00e9tant donn\u00e9 que le potentiel de conflit et de violence est consid\u00e9rablement accru dans des environnements aussi fragiles. Comme l’\u00e9rosion de la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 des \u00c9tats est compens\u00e9e par la mont\u00e9e des acteurs non \u00e9tatiques, les fournisseurs de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 priv\u00e9s qui agissent dans cet espace doivent examiner attentivement comment ces tendances pourraient avoir un impact sur leurs propres op\u00e9rations.<\/p>\n

\"\"
Jamie Williamson, directeur ex\u00e9cutif de ICoCA<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

La croissance exponentielle de la technologie<\/h3>\n

Le Dr Jean-Marc Rickli, chef du d\u00e9partement Risque global et r\u00e9silience au Centre de politique de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 de Gen\u00e8ve (GCSP), a pr\u00e9sent\u00e9 aux participants un expos\u00e9 convaincant et parfois effrayant sur l’impact de la technologie sur la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 dans les ann\u00e9es \u00e0 venir. Consid\u00e9rons, par exemple, que la puissance de calcul double tous les dix-huit mois et que d’ici 2030, 50 milliards d’appareils produiront des donn\u00e9es \u00e0 un rythme jamais vu auparavant. Nous devons nous pr\u00e9parer rapidement aux changements perturbateurs qui se profilent \u00e0 l’horizon. \u00c9tant donn\u00e9 le rythme exponentiel du d\u00e9veloppement dans des domaines tels que l’intelligence artificielle et la robotique et l’application de ces technologies dans le secteur de la s\u00e9curit\u00e9, comme par exemple les syst\u00e8mes d’armes autonomes, les implications sont profondes.<\/p>\n

Comment l’anticipation strat\u00e9gique peut aider<\/h3>\n

Emily Munro, directrice adjointe du programme sur les nouveaux d\u00e9fis de s\u00e9curit\u00e9, chef du groupe d’anticipation strat\u00e9gique du Centre de politique de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 de Gen\u00e8ve (GCSP), a ensuite examin\u00e9 comment la prospective strat\u00e9gique pourrait \u00eatre un outil utile pour les entreprises et les gouvernements afin de comprendre les implications de ces tendances pour la fourniture de s\u00e9curit\u00e9. Les entreprises qui utilisent efficacement ces outils sont plus aptes \u00e0 s’adapter au changement et plus r\u00e9sistantes aux risques qui se pr\u00e9senteront in\u00e9vitablement \u00e0 un moment donn\u00e9.<\/p>\n

Les implications pour la fourniture responsable de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 priv\u00e9e<\/h3>\n

Richard Wylde, associ\u00e9 chez Control Risks, a \u00e9tudi\u00e9 l’industrie de la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 et les implications de ces tendances pour la fourniture d’une s\u00e9curit\u00e9 responsable qui respecte les droits de l’homme et le droit humanitaire. Compte tenu du rythme et de l’ampleur de ces tendances, les gouvernements seront de plus en plus enclins \u00e0 faire appel \u00e0 des soci\u00e9t\u00e9s de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 priv\u00e9es mieux plac\u00e9es pour r\u00e9agir rapidement aux forces du march\u00e9 et de la technologie. Compte tenu de cette r\u00e9alit\u00e9, un niveau de coop\u00e9ration beaucoup plus \u00e9lev\u00e9 entre les secteurs public et priv\u00e9 sera n\u00e9cessaire pour garantir que des normes \u00e9lev\u00e9es soient atteintes dans la fourniture de services de s\u00e9curit\u00e9.<\/p>\n

\"\"
Richard Wylde, associ\u00e9 chez Control Risks<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Les implications pour ICoCA<\/h3>\n

Dr. Sorcha MacLeod, Marie Sk\u0142odowska-Curie Fellow et professeur associ\u00e9, Universit\u00e9 de Copenhague et membre expert du groupe de travail des Nations unies sur l’utilisation des mercenaires a montr\u00e9 que nombre de ces tendances se chevauchent et se recoupent. En effet, plut\u00f4t que d’\u00eatre des dangers lointains, elles sont d\u00e9j\u00e0 largement pr\u00e9sentes. Les gens rencontrent des acteurs de la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 priv\u00e9e \u00e0 tous les niveaux de crise, avec des probl\u00e8mes importants de droits de l’homme \u00e0 chaque \u00e9tape. La question pour ICoCA et ses membres est de savoir si le code de conduite, qui a \u00e9t\u00e9 formul\u00e9 il y a pr\u00e8s de dix ans, est adapt\u00e9 \u00e0 son objectif. Apr\u00e8s avoir examin\u00e9 attentivement ces tendances, le Dr MacLeod a conclu l’atelier en demandant si le code de conduite international doit \u00eatre mis \u00e0 jour et\/ou modifi\u00e9 pour qu’il tienne pleinement compte de ces nouvelles technologies et de notre monde en rapide \u00e9volution.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

La sixi\u00e8me Assembl\u00e9e g\u00e9n\u00e9rale annuelle a \u00e9t\u00e9 pr\u00e9c\u00e9d\u00e9e d’un atelier sur les futures tendances en mati\u00e8re de s\u00e9curit\u00e9, qui s’est tenu le 20 novembre 2019. Pr\u00e9parer le terrain pour les futurs possibles Le premier de ces ateliers \u00e0 \u00eatre organis\u00e9 par ICoCA, Jamie Williamson, directeur ex\u00e9cutif d’ICoCA, a ouvert les d\u00e9bats en pr\u00e9sentant des projections […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"give_campaign_id":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[24],"class_list":["post-2824","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-event_fr"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nRAPPORT DE L'ATELIER SUR LES TENDANCES FUTURES EN MATI\u00c8RE DE S\u00c9CURIT\u00c9 - ICoCA - International Code of Conduct Association<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/icoca.ch\/fr\/2019\/12\/20\/future-security-trends-workshop-report\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"RAPPORT DE L'ATELIER SUR LES TENDANCES FUTURES EN MATI\u00c8RE DE S\u00c9CURIT\u00c9 - ICoCA - International Code of Conduct Association\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"La sixi\u00e8me Assembl\u00e9e g\u00e9n\u00e9rale annuelle a \u00e9t\u00e9 pr\u00e9c\u00e9d\u00e9e d’un atelier sur les futures tendances en mati\u00e8re de s\u00e9curit\u00e9, qui s’est tenu le 20 novembre 2019. 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